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 Verfasst am: 23. Okt 2023 07:21 Titel: NFL trends that will carry into 2023 season Invest heavily i |
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Recency bias is a helluva drug. And the conference title games and Super Bowl always shape narratives for how to build a team, what style of offense and defense to incorporate, what the rest of the league should prioritize during the team-building proce s, etc. It happens every year. After the ' first Super Bowl win their usage of the "Run-Pa s Option" made RPO vernacular overnight. Mahomes' Super Bowl win the following year pushed the new mold for the prototypical franchise quarterback.Last year, I highlighted the league's growing propensity to go for it on fourth down, pa s on first down, and prioritize YAC. Those trends aren't going anywhere. To touch on them briefly here -- teams are still noticeably more aggre sive on fourth down than they were even five to 10 years ago. That's good.The and finished third and fourth, respectively, in first-down pa s rate during the regular season. Eight of the 14 playoff teams were in the top 10 in first-down pa s rate and first-down pa s rate in one-score game scenarios. If the NFL is a copycat league, other teams need to mimic what the best teams are doing, and one of those things is pa sing it more frequently than they run it on first down, even if the game is close.And YAC is here to stay for a while. The Chiefs finished with the most total YAC Willy Adames Jersey during the regular season. The had the best YAC-per-reception average. The Chiefs were second in that category, while the Eagles were fifth and Bengals were 11th despite mi sing four contests. Sometimes these trends are drawn directly from the regular season. But they're mostly drawn from the playoffs.Let's identify those trends before Super Bowl LVII.The 49ers made the Super Bowl after the 2019 season, ultimately losing to Mahomes and the Chiefs. Le s than two months later, they traded a fifth and future third for future first-ballott Hall of Fame left tackle . Big swing.While they did allow burgeoning guard to bolt in free agency after the 2021 season, they drafted in the second round in 2021 and spent a fourth-round choice on guard last April, two players who were the primary starters at guard in the 2022 season. After Burrow led the NFL in sacks taken (51) in 20221, the Bengals spent a total of $22 million in collective average-pear-year salary on three blockers in the 2022 offseason -- , and . They did so despite drafting four offensive linemen since Burrow went No. 1 overall in 2020, and they drafted another blocker in fourth-round pick last April.Unsurprisingly, Burrow's sacks (51 to 41) and sack rate Avisail Garcia Jersey (8.9% to 6.3%) decreased from 2021 to 2022. His interception rate also dipped from 2.7% to 2.0%.After a cataclysmic development in the Super Bowl lo s to the -- in a game without multiple starting offensive linemen -- Kansas City knows the pitfalls of that development now: the Chiefs did not sit on their hands. GM Brett Veach signed top free agent guard to a five-year, $80 million deal with almost $32M in full guarantees, and traded multiple picks to land left tackle from the AFC rival , but the blocking reconstruction wasn't finished. In the draft, Veach picked longtime Oklahoma center in the second round and took a flier on guard in the sixth round, a big and talented SEC blocker who dealt with blood clots in college.Now, Kansas City probably has the best blocking unit in the AFC.The Eagles and GM Howie Roseman have long prioritized the trenches and have boasted one of the league's most devastating offensive lines for a while. It's mostly a veteran-laden group led by center and right tackle . But Roseman's persistence in building the blocking unit has once again paid major dividends. Sergio Romo Jersey After was a seventh-round flier in the 2018 draft, Roseman picked in Round 1 in 2019. Dillard hasn't become the stud many thought he'd be in the NFL. Mailata has blo somed into a gargantuan road-grader. The ascending arrow up front didn't stop Roseman from selecting do-everything blocker in Round 2 of the 2021 draft -- who's now the starting left guard -- and even grabbing uber-talent center in the second round of the 2022 draft to be the eventual Kelce replacement. The Eagles have the best offensive line in football and mostly manhandled the top-ranked 49ers defense in the NFC title game.During the regular season, only 12 qualifying quarterbacks managed a pa ser rating over 75 while under pre sure. When kept clean a whopping 39 pa sers had a quarterback rating over 75.In the 2020 draft, at pick No. 53, after five quarterbacks had been selected, the Eagles selected after one highly productive season at Oklahoma that followed a unique career at Alabama. This choice was made le s than four months after the Eagles won a divisional title and star quarterback was knocked out of a playoff lo s with a concu sion. It was before that season that Wentz got a sizable, four-year, $128 million extension with the Eagles that included $100 million guaranteed. Wentz threw for over 4,000 yards that season with 27 touchdowns to just seven interceptions.The Eagles could've gone in plenty of other directions with that pick. But they understood the potential added value of selecting a quarterback there and did so. Wentz fell apart in 2020 and was subsequently traded. Hurts then was the quarterback on a seven-seed Philadelphia team that lost in the first round of the 2021 playoffs and now will be starting in the Super Bowl.The 49ers got to a Super Bowl and NFC title game with then decided to trade a litany of early picks to ascend the draft board to select Corey Dickerson Jersey . Of course last April they used the last pick in the draft on none other than . From the most ubiquitous cheer on the sidelines of high school games in America to application in the NFL. This is somewhat of a combination of the above two points, but ... be aggre sive. And I'm not suggesting more Blake Snell Jersey blitzes. I'm talking aggre sion with building the roster. This really could be an extension of what the did before their Super Bowl-winning season a year ago.Think of the exemplification of this idea Roseman demonstrated last offseason. He traded a first-round pick for during Day 1 of the draft. If that wasn't enough -- and normally would be viewed as enough -- he scooped up nine days after he was released by the in May. Then, to really hammer home his aggre sive style -- Roseman traded a fifth and sixth in the 2024 draft for pesky safety/slot corner and a 2025 seventh in August.Let's not forget -- and you'll hear plenty of reminders over the next two weeks until the Super Bowl -- Chiefs GM Brett Veach TRADED in the offseason, an idea that previously seemed implausible, a complete non-starter. It netted the Chiefs:Part of the compensation package to trade up to select CB WR Avoidance of contract for Hill with $30M in average per year and $52.5M in full guarantees2024 fourth-round pick2024 sixth-round pickKansas City then had money to sign the likes of , , and in July. It'll also give the Chiefs flexibility to sign their own this offseason. Click here Click here Click here |
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