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[quote="upamfva"]Why China is facing an economic crisis and how India can gain Even as the world economy is coming to terms with high inflation and rising interest rates, it faces another shock. There are fears of a meltdown of the Chinese economy and its banking system. In a sign of impending crisis, there are reports of depositors in China rushing to banks to withdraw their money. How did the Chinese economy, which is considered to be a global growth engine, get into this situation and how does it impact the global economy? Moneycontrol explains.To get more [url=https://www.shine.cn/biz/economy/]latest news on china's economy[/url], you can visit shine news official website. After China joined World Trade Organization in 2001, its economy has become increasingly become integrated with the rest of the world. Over the years, the country has become the centre of the global trading system, overtaking the US. Several big global companies, including Apple and Tesla, have large manufacturing bases in China. The share of China in world exports has quadrupled from 4% in 2001 to 15% in 2021. On the other hand, the share of the US declined from 12% to 8% during the same period. Based on the purchasing-power-parity parameter, China has emerged as the leading world economy, overtaking the US. The impact of Chinese trade on the world economy was seen during the Covid-19 pandemic. Over the years, China has become the centre of the global supply chain of electronic products. The pandemic led to a huge surge in demand for these electronic products, as the world economy aggressively adopted digitalisation. However, due to lockdowns and supply disruptions, there has been a large-scale shortage in electronic goods supply from China. What has led to the current crisis in China? After a spike in infections, the Chinese government adopted a zero Covid-19 policy and imposed stringent lockdowns in key cities such as Beijing and Shanghai. As a result, the Chinese economy is expected to grow slower in 2022 and 2023. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has cut China’s 2022 GDP growth projection from 4.4% in April-2022 outlook to 3.3% in July-2022 outlook. IMF has lowered China’s 2023 GDP growth projection from 5.1% to 4.6%. It stated that “lockdowns and the deepening real estate crisis have led growth to be revised down by 1.1 percentage points”. Is there more to China’s woes other than the Covid-19-led slowdown? The seeds of current China’s problems were sown in the 2008 global financial crisis when the Chinese government gave a large-scale stimulus to counter the global slowdown. The government gave banks an implicit guarantee to dole out credit, which led to a sharp jump in bank credit around 2008. The bulk of the credit was directed towards real estate and property. which led to a rise in prices. The economists have been saying for a long time that bank lending was not sustainable and will result in a crisis. The credit to GDP ratio, which is often seen as an indicator of a crisis, has been one of the highest in China. There were periods when the prices had declined sharply, as in 2011 and 2015, and a banking crisis looked inevitable but was averted by the government. Even the recent price decline is not as sharp as in 2011 and 2015, but it has turned into a crisis as the government is busy fighting Covid-19. IMF has lowered 2022 growth projections for not just China but also for the world economy from 3.6% to 3.2%. It has cited downturns in China and Russia as the main reason for the lower revision. The IMF has added that a slowdown in China “would have strong global spillovers”. If supply from China declines, it could lead to higher consumer goods prices worldwide as seen during the pandemic. The decline in Chinese growth and demand could also lead to lesser demand for commodities and intermediate goods supplied by other countries. This may lower inflation pressure but create problems for the economies which are dependent on exporting to China. The overall lower growth in the world could impact financial markets as well. The saving grace is that Chinese financial markets are not as well integrated with the rest of the world as its trade sector. So the spillovers will remain limited to the trade channels. The financial markets will be impacted but marginally. This is unlike the US, whose highly inter-connected financial markets led to spillovers in the financial channel as seen in the 2008 crisis. The Chinese crisis provides both challenges and opportunities for the Indian economy. Over the years, India’s trade with China, especially imports, has risen sharply. In 2013-14, the Chinese share in India’s imports was 10.7 percent, which rose to 16.6 percent in 2020-21. The share of India’s exports to China has risen from 6.4 percent to 7.2 percent in the same period. India’s major exports to China are chemicals, mineral fuels, etc, whereas chief imports are electrical machinery, electronic goods, etc. The crisis in China means India’s trade sector could be impacted. While India’s exports are not as essential to China, the imports from China are important for energy and growth. India could convert this challenge into an opportunity by seeking imports from other countries. It will help India rely less on China over the years. India could also build capabilities to make these products locally over time. In fact, the Chinese crisis provides an opportunity for India to project itself as a global manufacturing hub. India has a large young population seeking employment opportunities, and if one can bring global investment to India, it will be a win-win opportunity for all.[/quote]
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wrex
Verfasst am: 14. Apr 2024 07:20
Titel: value
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wrex
Verfasst am: 03. Apr 2024 19:59
Titel: value
audiobookkeeper.ru
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getthebounce.ru
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wrex
Verfasst am: 05. Jan 2024 15:54
Titel: value
audiobookkeeper
cottagenet
eyesvision
инфо
factoringfee
filmzones
gadwall
gaffertape
gageboard
gagrule
gallduct
galvanometric
gangforeman
gangwayplatform
garbagechute
gardeningleave
gascautery
gashbucket
gasreturn
gatedsweep
gaugemodel
gaussianfilter
gearpitchdiameter
geartreating
generalizedanalysis
generalprovisions
geophysicalprobe
geriatricnurse
getintoaflap
getthebounce
habeascorpus
habituate
hackedbolt
hackworker
hadronicannihilation
haemagglutinin
hailsquall
hairysphere
halforderfringe
halfsiblings
hallofresidence
haltstate
handcoding
handportedhead
handradar
handsfreetelephone
hangonpart
haphazardwinding
hardalloyteeth
hardasiron
hardenedconcrete
harmonicinteraction
hartlaubgoose
hatchholddown
haveafinetime
hazardousatmosphere
headregulator
heartofgold
heatageingresistance
heatinggas
heavydutymetalcutting
jacketedwall
japanesecedar
jibtypecrane
jobabandonment
jobstress
jogformation
jointcapsule
jointsealingmaterial
journallubricator
juicecatcher
junctionofchannels
justiciablehomicide
juxtapositiontwin
kaposidisease
keepagoodoffing
keepsmthinhand
kentishglory
kerbweight
kerrrotation
keymanassurance
keyserum
kickplate
killthefattedcalf
kilowattsecond
kingweakfish
kinozones
kleinbottle
kneejoint
knifesethouse
knockonatom
knowledgestate
kondoferromagnet
labeledgraph
laborracket
labourearnings
labourleasing
laburnumtree
lacingcourse
lacrimalpoint
lactogenicfactor
lacunarycoefficient
ladletreatediron
laggingload
laissezaller
lambdatransition
laminatedmaterial
lammasshoot
lamphouse
lancecorporal
lancingdie
landingdoor
landmarksensor
landreform
landuseratio
languagelaboratory
largeheart
lasercalibration
laserlens
laserpulse
laterevent
latrinesergeant
layabout
leadcoating
leadingfirm
learningcurve
leaveword
machinesensible
magneticequator
magnetotelluricfield
mailinghouse
majorconcern
mammasdarling
managerialstaff
manipulatinghand
manualchoke
medinfobooks
mp3lists
nameresolution
naphtheneseries
narrowmouthed
nationalcensus
naturalfunctor
navelseed
neatplaster
necroticcaries
negativefibration
neighbouringrights
objectmodule
observationballoon
obstructivepatent
oceanmining
octupolephonon
offlinesystem
offsetholder
olibanumresinoid
onesticket
packedspheres
pagingterminal
palatinebones
palmberry
papercoating
paraconvexgroup
parasolmonoplane
parkingbrake
partfamily
partialmajorant
quadrupleworm
qualitybooster
quasimoney
quenchedspark
quodrecuperet
rabbetledge
radialchaser
radiationestimator
railwaybridge
randomcoloration
rapidgrowth
rattlesnakemaster
reachthroughregion
readingmagnifier
rearchain
recessioncone
recordedassignment
rectifiersubstation
redemptionvalue
reducingflange
referenceantigen
regeneratedprotein
reinvestmentplan
safedrilling
sagprofile
salestypelease
samplinginterval
satellitehydrology
scarcecommodity
scrapermat
screwingunit
seawaterpump
secondaryblock
secularclergy
seismicefficiency
selectivediffuser
semiasphalticflux
semifinishmachining
spicetrade
spysale
stungun
tacticaldiameter
tailstockcenter
tamecurve
tapecorrection
tappingchuck
taskreasoning
technicalgrade
telangiectaticlipoma
telescopicdamper
temperateclimate
temperedmeasure
tenementbuilding
tuchkas
ultramaficrock
ultraviolettesting
upamfva
Verfasst am: 12. Sep 2022 04:29
Titel: Why China is facing an economic crisis and how India can gai
Why China is facing an economic crisis and how India can gain
Even as the world economy is coming to terms with high inflation and rising interest rates, it faces another shock. There are fears of a meltdown of the Chinese economy and its banking system. In a sign of impending crisis, there are reports of depositors in China rushing to banks to withdraw their money. How did the Chinese economy, which is considered to be a global growth engine, get into this situation and how does it impact the global economy? Moneycontrol explains.To get more
latest news on china's economy
, you can visit shine news official website.
After China joined World Trade Organization in 2001, its economy has become increasingly become integrated with the rest of the world. Over the years, the country has become the centre of the global trading system, overtaking the US. Several big global companies, including Apple and Tesla, have large manufacturing bases in China. The share of China in world exports has quadrupled from 4% in 2001 to 15% in 2021. On the other hand, the share of the US declined from 12% to 8% during the same period. Based on the purchasing-power-parity parameter, China has emerged as the leading world economy, overtaking the US.
The impact of Chinese trade on the world economy was seen during the Covid-19 pandemic. Over the years, China has become the centre of the global supply chain of electronic products. The pandemic led to a huge surge in demand for these electronic products, as the world economy aggressively adopted digitalisation. However, due to lockdowns and supply disruptions, there has been a large-scale shortage in electronic goods supply from China.
What has led to the current crisis in China?
After a spike in infections, the Chinese government adopted a zero Covid-19 policy and imposed stringent lockdowns in key cities such as Beijing and Shanghai. As a result, the Chinese economy is expected to grow slower in 2022 and 2023. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has cut China’s 2022 GDP growth projection from 4.4% in April-2022 outlook to 3.3% in July-2022 outlook. IMF has lowered China’s 2023 GDP growth projection from 5.1% to 4.6%. It stated that “lockdowns and the deepening real estate crisis have led growth to be revised down by 1.1 percentage points”.
Is there more to China’s woes other than the Covid-19-led slowdown?
The seeds of current China’s problems were sown in the 2008 global financial crisis when the Chinese government gave a large-scale stimulus to counter the global slowdown. The government gave banks an implicit guarantee to dole out credit, which led to a sharp jump in bank credit around 2008. The bulk of the credit was directed towards real estate and property. which led to a rise in prices. The economists have been saying for a long time that bank lending was not sustainable and will result in a crisis. The credit to GDP ratio, which is often seen as an indicator of a crisis, has been one of the highest in China.
There were periods when the prices had declined sharply, as in 2011 and 2015, and a banking crisis looked inevitable but was averted by the government. Even the recent price decline is not as sharp as in 2011 and 2015, but it has turned into a crisis as the government is busy fighting Covid-19.
IMF has lowered 2022 growth projections for not just China but also for the world economy from 3.6% to 3.2%. It has cited downturns in China and Russia as the main reason for the lower revision. The IMF has added that a slowdown in China “would have strong global spillovers”. If supply from China declines, it could lead to higher consumer goods prices worldwide as seen during the pandemic. The decline in Chinese growth and demand could also lead to lesser demand for commodities and intermediate goods supplied by other countries. This may lower inflation pressure but create problems for the economies which are dependent on exporting to China. The overall lower growth in the world could impact financial markets as well. The saving grace is that Chinese financial markets are not as well integrated with the rest of the world as its trade sector. So the spillovers will remain limited to the trade channels. The financial markets will be impacted but marginally. This is unlike the US, whose highly inter-connected financial markets led to spillovers in the financial channel as seen in the 2008 crisis.
The Chinese crisis provides both challenges and opportunities for the Indian economy. Over the years, India’s trade with China, especially imports, has risen sharply. In 2013-14, the Chinese share in India’s imports was 10.7 percent, which rose to 16.6 percent in 2020-21. The share of India’s exports to China has risen from 6.4 percent to 7.2 percent in the same period. India’s major exports to China are chemicals, mineral fuels, etc, whereas chief imports are electrical machinery, electronic goods, etc. The crisis in China means India’s trade sector could be impacted. While India’s exports are not as essential to China, the imports from China are important for energy and growth.
India could convert this challenge into an opportunity by seeking imports from other countries. It will help India rely less on China over the years. India could also build capabilities to make these products locally over time. In fact, the Chinese crisis provides an opportunity for India to project itself as a global manufacturing hub. India has a large young population seeking employment opportunities, and if one can bring global investment to India, it will be a win-win opportunity for all.